Every Sunday, we share 21 Fantasy Rambles from our writers at DobberHockey. These thoughts are curated from the past week’s 'Daily Ramblings'.
Writers/Editors: Ian Gooding, Michael Clifford, Alexander MacLean, and Dobber
1. Real or Illusion? Players with crazy stats that are just too much to believe. But just how much is real and how much is illusion?
Nazem Kadri – 27 points in 19 games (entering Saturday)! And 26 of those points are in the last 15. Obviously unsustainable. But by how much? The 5on5 S% points to a dip of maybe 25%. He’s being used in an offensive capacity in terms of the way he’s being sheltered – but no different than last season (below-average Quality of Competition and mostly offensive zone starts).
A huge chunk of his production has been from the power play, as he saw a 15% increase in PP time thanks to the Nathan MacKinnon injury. So, how far will things settle down? I suspect that with MacKinnon back, Kadri slips to a 63-point pace. But that’s still a career-best pace and do you know what? That still has him ending up with 79-80 points when the season ends. He has given himself so much of a cushion that even slipping back to reality still has him flirting with 80. Toss in the fact that his linemates are still getting better (Andre Burakovsky and Valeri Nichushkin) and this is a fairly safe bet. Reality Rating: 6.0/10 (nov29)
2. Troy Terry (25 points in 24 games) – Terry has finally slowed down a little with just three points in his last seven games, but prior to that he had a 16-game points streak on the go. And while his S% is out of whack at 27.8%, his 5on5 S% is a reasonable 8.6%. So, his goal total (15) is too high and the rate will obviously come down. In the end, I see him reaching 60 points – assuming he stays healthy. But given his pro career so far, that seems unlikely. Pencil him in for 70 games and 50 points and if he does kick the injury bug and play 80 games, then 60+ is absolutely doable. Reality Rating: 7.5/10 (nov29)
3. He’s not the starting goalie in Calgary, but he’s been impressive. Following his win on Friday, Dan Vladar has a 5-0-1 record with a 1.78 GAA and a .939 SV%. Even more noteworthy, all six of these games have been on the road. Vladar is worth streaming whenever he’s announced as the starter. (dec4)
4. Rickard Rakell has eight goals in 15 games. That’s just one fewer goal than he scored all of last season. The Ducks look better this season and so does Rakell. Since he is available in about three-quarters of Yahoo leagues, Rakell could be a Duck to consider adding from your waiver wire for next week. (