Daily Fantasy Saturday: Optimized and Stacked Lineups

Stephen Dotzel

2022-04-02

Dobber Hockey has officially entered the DFS space which if in case you missed it, our DFS subscription service, complete with our lineup optimizer, launched this week. If you want to see more, check out the link below where we're running a promotion:

“Try Our Daily Fantasy Tools – Thousands of Simulations Run Instantaneously to Provide You with the Most Optimized Lineup – Order Now and Get $20 Off!”

If you're someone new to the site and reading this article for the first time, I suggest going back through some of my previous Saturday DFS articles when you have some time as I try to give some detailed strategy advice whenever possible. For a quick primer though in what to do with the most optimized lineup and what contests to play, here's my take on it.

Optimized NHL lineups are great for cash-style and small field contests. "Cash" contests are loosely defined as ones that pay out close to 50% of the field. In the DraftKings lobby – head-to-heads, double ups, and 50/50s are great examples of these contests. Even triples ups, which pay 33%, are acceptable. Optimized lineups are also best for are small tournaments such as 20 players, 40 players, and leagues you may be in likely up to around 100 entries or so.

In these formats, you're looking to build the most well-rounded lineup you can and that's what optimizers do best. A good optimizer such as ours helps you find those value plays that are the key and by running thousands of simulations, provide you the players that are the most likely to succeed on a given slate. Often times you can just plug and play the optimized lineup, maybe with a few minor tweaks, into these formats without giving much thought to ownership, correlation, or game theory in general. And you can likely do quite well.

As far as large field tournaments of a few hundred into the thousands of entries, there you will likely only want to use the optimizer as a tool, not gospel. My findings by tracking large field tournament winning lineups over the past few months has strongly indicated that correlation through stacking of linemates and power-play units is the most successful strategy, which is something an optimized lineup is unlikely to give you. The extreme top-heavy nature of these tournaments where you're looking to build a lineup in the top 0.1% of all lineups leads itself to a much more all-or-nothing approach than you would want for a cash, small field tourney, or league-type lineup where you quite simply are looking to avoi