Saturday’s Game Picks: Continue the Under on Calgary/Dallas

Vlad Zorila

2022-05-07

Welcome back my beloved readers. For those of you who were heavy hearted about having to wait another five months before getting to read some of my articles again, worry no more. We are back for the playoffs, and you can expect this to be the most fascinating portion of the season.

Individual regular season games are one big cluster of randomness and timing. Anything can happen to anyone on any given day, and it is usually my job to try and put some sense into things and rationalize this gigantic interrogation. Playoff games are the exact opposite. While chance and timing still play a crucial role, there's a sense of logic and continuity in the playoffs that you just don't see anywhere else in professional sports.

I am beyond excited to get into these picks and predictions, so much so that I will be adding an additional day for postseason picks! You will also be able to read my articles on Wednesdays from now on. Thus, let us wait no longer.

Gold Pick

Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars (Over/under 5.5) – Pick: Under

It would be hard for me at this stage to choose who would come out on top in a game between these two teams, especially after they've exchanged wins in the two previous games played in Calgary. In both those games, the losing team has stayed within two goals of their rivals. Additionally, I am the only writer in the Dobber team who predicted Dallas to move on to the second round, so I would certainly have a bias there.

That being said, I am strongly confident that the low-scoring tendency that's taken place in this series so far will continue. We are witnessing an admirable goaltending duel here, the most impressive one in the first round if you ask me. After two games, Jacob Markstrom has a .974 save percentage while playoff rookie Jake Oettinger is rolling on .982. Granted, the sample size is very small still, but both goaltenders aren't showing any signs of slowing down whatsoever. Their respective defensive units are doing an admirable job to keep them safe so far as no team has shot the puck on target more than 30 times in a game so far.

Admittedly, there is a chance that some guys like Johnny Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk, Elias Lindholm, Jason Robertson or Joe Pavelski, who have all been fairly quiet until now, could break out, but I am still betting on the defensive side to remain dominant in this matchup on both sides.

Silver Pick

Florida Panthers @ Washington Capitals – Pick: Panthers

To say that Florida had a disappointing first game would be an understatement. From top to bottom, pretty much their whole squad underperformed. Sergei Bobrovsky gave away three goals. His defenders didn't facilitate things for him by allowing a whopping 37 shots on goal.