Every Sunday, we share 21 Fantasy Rambles from our writers at DobberHockey. These thoughts are curated from the past week’s 'Daily Ramblings'.
Writers/Editors: Ian Gooding, Michael Clifford, Alexander MacLean, and Dobber
1. The Top 100 Roto Rankings have been published for June. Although these rankings won’t really matter until single-season drafts start happening in September (at the earliest), I’ll still tweak and refine them based on both offseason moves and digging deeper on player statlines. This month, I concentrated on finding a few fallers. Below are two, Jeremy Swayman and Dylan Larkin, that were published this week:
All being said, Swayman had an impressive first full season. His 2.41 GAA was in the top 5 among goalies that had played in at least 20 games. His .914 SV% and 53.7 QS% made him worth starting most of the time. All of those numbers were comparable to tandem mate Linus Ullmark, who was signed to a four-year contract last offseason to be the long-term replacement for Tuukka Rask.
Even though Swayman has a bright NHL future ahead, much of a goalie’s fantasy value is tied to the team in front of him. Unfortunately, there are a multitude of reasons that the Bruins are expected to fall in the standings. The injuries to top defenseman Charlie McAvoy and first-line forward Brad Marchand. The possible retirement of Selke Trophy winner Patrice Bergeron. Even the firing of Bruce Cassidy, who was able to implement a strong defensive system as the head coach.
Add all of that up along with a potential timeshare with Ullmark, and Swayman doesn’t appear to be a top-100 fantasy option heading into next season. Of course, the offseason still has to play out. Yet if there’s one team that appears prepared to take a step back, it’s the Bruins. As the roster stands, wins will be harder to come by, and that directly impacts the goalies. (jun17)
2. As for the other roto faller mentioned above, I don’t feel strongly about a potential downturn for Larkin, as moving him down was more of a rankings correction than anything. That being said, Larkin had his share of red and orange on the Buy/Sell Meter on his Frozen Tools Advanced Stats page. Most notable was a 14.6 SH%, but also worth mentioning are his 9.9 5-on-5 SH% and his 3.0 PTS/60.
Although Larkin’s 212 SOG was decent, it wasn’t nearly as high as his 287 SOG from a few seasons ago. He was able to score 32 goals that season. Based on previous shooting percentages, he’s going to have to shoot more in order to reach 30 goals again. Otherwise, expect a drop in goals.
Larkin does have a couple of things working in his favor for next season. One is a low secondary assist percentage (31.6%), which could push his assist total to over 40 next season. The other is that he will be entering a contract season next season, unless the Wings can sign him to a long-term extension this offseason. (