The Journey: Down and Out? (Morrison, Farrance, Dugan, Valimaki)

Benjamin Gehrels

2022-07-30

Welcome back to The Journey, where we follow hockey prospects and their paths to the NHL, providing fantasy predictions and analysis along the way. Many thanks to Curtis Rines for so capably filling in for me the past few weeks while I was on vacation. He examined Andrea Kuzmenko's realistic upside, graded the first round of the 2022 draft, and profiled a few key players whose values shifted with all the offseason trades and signings. Past Journey articles can be found here.

It's the end of the month again, which means it's time for another edition of sink-or-swim, examining former high-end prospects whose values have taken a hit and whose futures now seem uncertain. This month will have more of a "down and out" focus—players who seem to have already sunk in terms of their fantasy value. While they are likely quite a long shot at this stage, all of the players featured this week could still provide value under the right circumstances if managers stay patient and adjust their expectations regarding upside.

As always, please feel welcome to post ideas for future players in the comments or hit me up with questions on Twitter @beegare.

Logan Morrison

Morrison was featured here in June for his key role (39 points in 19 games) in the Hamilton Bulldogs' Memorial Cup run after being crowned OHL champions. He had been passed over in the two previous drafts, and it seemed like a team would finally take a swing on him in 2022 after he scored 100 points in only 60 games.

But for whatever reason, Morrison went undrafted for a third consecutive year. No disrespect intended but does anyone taken after, say, Round 4 have anywhere near to Morrison's offensive track record and potential upside? Historical hit rates confirm that teams are essentially buying lottery tickets at that stage of the draft. Why not buy one that is more likely to be a winner? Baffling.