21 Fantasy Hockey Rambles

Mario Prata

2020-12-20

Every Sunday, we’ll share 21 Fantasy Rambles from our writers at DobberHockey. These thoughts are curated from the past week’s 'Daily Ramblings'.

Writers/Editors: Ian Gooding, Michael Clifford, Cam Robinson, and Dobber


 

1. In my auction league, Jakub Vrana was one of those players who was overlooked at first but whose interest has picked up. With long-time stars such as Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom, Evgeny Kuznetsov and John Carlson on the Capitals, it’s easy to overlook Vrana. Yet there he was on a 0.75 PTS/GP pace and his first 50-point season. Over his four NHL seasons, Vrana has made some nice incremental gains.

The most productive Capital in terms of points/60 in 2019-20 was Vrana (3.0 PTS/60) – not Ovechkin or Backstrom or Carlson or Kuznetsov. League-wise, that was just outside of the top 30. In spite of the recent production, Vrana still continues to average less than 15 minutes per game. Not surprisingly, he has also been used on the Capitals’ second power-play unit, yet he still managed to chip in 12 power-play points.

I won’t get into as much detail as Rick did about Vrana in his recent Goldipucks and the Three Skaters, but I’d concur that Vrana is up for an additional scoring increase. If the Capitals find a way to use him on the first-unit power play, then look out. His ADP is currently 96.7 in Yahoo leagues, so you could be pulling some great value if you can add him after pick 100. (dec19)

 

2. Not surprisingly, goalies with the highest amount of quality starts tend to be the high-volume goalies. Vezina Trophy winner Connor Hellebuyck led the league with 36 quality starts in 2019-20, followed by Andrei Vasilevskiy and Carey Price, who each recorded 31 QS.

By examining quality start percentage, however, we may be able to find some potentially undervalued goalies. Darcy Kuemper was the runaway winner here with a 75.9% QS%. In other words, you can sleep easier knowing that your fantasy team’s starting goalie will earn a quality start three of the four times he suits up. Kuemper was on his way to a Vezina Trophy nomination (2.22 GAA, .928 SV%) before a lower-body injury sidelined him just before Christmas. As a result, he didn’t even finish among the top 10 in total quality starts.

Last week I discussed goals-saved above average. Not surprisingly, Kuemper was near the top of that stat, finishing fourth with 16.65 GSAA and second with 0.57 GSAA/60 (minimum 15 games). Backup Antti Raanta was not far behind in GSAA and GSAA/60 either, which is a testament to